PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

10193

0x13260e86c34b2856a5ffe47ea31135cbab55d13d

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$97.4k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$619.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2580.884$327.26+$231.81
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2100.325$198.25+$70.15
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 84.50.1600.094$94.38$66.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-23 08:30Will Hong Kong have 190mm or more of precipitation in April?BUY0.54$432.54
04-11 18:00Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?SELL0.42$144.48
04-11 17:59Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?SELL0.42$128.10
04-11 11:00Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?BUY0.45$292.05
04-09 22:28Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.69$201.48
04-09 22:27Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.69$323.61
04-09 14:57Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?SELL0.06$6.42
04-09 13:51QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.31$56.42
04-09 13:50QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.31$116.56
04-08 07:27Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?BUY0.69$73.83
04-07 16:02Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.258$95.46
04-07 10:09Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.78$593.58
03-31 03:56Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?SELL0.35$60.90
03-30 15:51Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.15$8.40
03-30 15:49Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?SELL0.15$100.35