0x1324d2fbabcc8c10cb6bf90dff16eba73db4e4ce
0x1324d2fbabcc8c10cb6bf90dff16eba73db4e4ce
- Realised P&L
- $10.50
- Volume
- $263.16
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $6.61
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.415 | $1.22 | +$0.22 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.835 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.840 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.580 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.720 | 0.505 | $0.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.255 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.345 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? · No | 0.480 | 0.210 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.60at 0.237Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$7.60at 0.237WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 9?
- +$5.89at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.38at 0.410S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$3.24at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:47 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:46 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 08:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:09 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:54 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:49 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:38 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:30 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:28 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:26 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.6599999942 | $2.29 |
| 09-23 07:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.5999999476 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 23:16 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $397.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.29 |