PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

PedroFl

0x131ae0dfd57fd09827448bb839ddea380aa3c50f

Realised P&L
$199.30
Volume
$329.78
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$61.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar60.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October? · Yes0.2900.395$24.52+$6.52
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in September? · Yes0.1820.240$11.90+$2.90
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in September? · Yes0.3140.250$9.56−$2.44
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October? · Yes0.2000.185$5.55−$0.45
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes0.2000.175$5.25−$0.75
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in September? · Yes0.1700.090$4.76−$4.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:29Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in September?BUY0.3138461466$12.00
11-01 16:28Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.2M and 7.3M in September?BUY0.1699999983$9.00
11-01 16:27Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.1M and 7.2M in September?BUY0.1818235961$9.00
10-31 21:30Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in October?BUY0.2899999977$18.00
10-31 21:29Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?BUY0.2$6.00
10-31 21:29Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?BUY0.2$6.00
10-18 15:16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2$50.00
12-24 13:12Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?SELL0.52$1.04
12-21 14:54Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?BUY0.5$1.00
12-18 00:05US forces in Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.076$1.52
12-17 20:18Maduro out by January 31, 2026?SELL0.2$1.00
12-17 20:18Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL0.22$1.05
12-17 13:12Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
12-16 15:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.159$1.29
12-14 15:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1229998967$1.00