0x1317c84ab08326fb1e8ed637c738a2b6c56735fd
0x1317c84ab08326fb1e8ed637c738a2b6c56735fd
- Realised P&L
- $-414.85
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $96.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $96.15 | −$3.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.86at 0.301Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
- +$61.33at 0.605Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?
- +$48.77at 0.522Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
- +$37.36at 0.738Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?
- +$28.99at 0.646Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 10:55 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 20:55 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:54 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:54 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:53 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 20:52 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.997 | $127.82 |
| 09-19 12:52 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 07:36 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 07:35 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 07:34 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 07:31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 07:31 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 13:31 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 13:31 | Will SK Rapid win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 13:30 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $50.00 |