likalaka
0x13124397081d914c4cd1f7993597d2d7ab389fb4
- Realised P&L
- $20.99
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28? · Yes | 0.664 | 0.890 | $487.94 | +$123.74 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.915 | $419.17 | +$88.33 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.670 | $96.51 | +$1.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.65at 0.670Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25?
- +$0.60at 0.400Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?
- +$0.00at 0.320Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?
- +$0.00at 0.150Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?
- +$0.00at 0.690Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 05:13 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31? | BUY | 0.7221828818 | $330.84 |
| 10-03 05:11 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? | BUY | 0.7501528879 | $26.50 |
| 10-03 05:10 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 5? | BUY | 0.63 | $68.49 |
| 10-03 05:02 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28? | BUY | 0.6643009576 | $364.20 |
| 09-30 02:57 | Will Trump raise tariffs on Canada by September 30? | BUY | 0.8958333333 | $32.25 |
| 09-27 15:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? | BUY | 0.0876613676 | $4.58 |
| 09-27 15:09 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 25? | SELL | 0.82 | $86.27 |
| 09-27 15:07 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-27 13:21 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 19? | BUY | 0.6451219512 | $26.45 |
| 09-27 13:20 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 09-27 13:19 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 21? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 09-27 13:19 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | BUY | 0.178 | $3.74 |
| 09-27 13:17 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 20? | BUY | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-27 13:16 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-27 13:08 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 19? | BUY | 0.608 | $60.80 |