PolyBot

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Traders

0x130a15d1d0dad29b54c11a5890373bd8c16eb35b

0x130a15d1d0dad29b54c11a5890373bd8c16eb35b

Realised P&L
$-4.98
Volume
$320.36
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$2.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12? · Up0.6800.974$1.43+$0.43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.2700.175$0.65−$0.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 10:49Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-12 10:49Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on October 12?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-05 13:49Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-01 15:21Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
09-25 01:41Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-24 11:46Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
09-18 13:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-16 05:04Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.219999978$2.00
09-15 20:28Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.25$2.00
09-13 05:27Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-12 17:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-12 09:04Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-12 04:20Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-10 04:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.6099999116$2.00
09-09 08:17Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.469999906$2.00