PolyBot

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Traders

0x130a15d1d0dad29b54c11a5890373bd8c16eb35b

Realised P&L
$-3.43
Volume
$109.39
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$13.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.2600.445$3.42+$1.42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6100.785$2.57+$0.57
Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.6800.655$1.93$0.07
Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? · No0.7000.665$1.90$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No0.7900.595$1.51$0.49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2200.149$1.36$0.64
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026? · Yes0.4200.129$0.61$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 13:58Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4$2.00
08-05 05:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-04 17:49Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-04 09:46Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?BUY0.699999755$2.00
08-04 01:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-03 17:43Will "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.68$2.00
08-03 09:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-03 00:37US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-02 16:36Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 06:28Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-01 22:28Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
08-01 13:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
08-01 04:03Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2099998737$1.28
07-31 19:52Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999281$1.56
07-31 11:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23