0xA38105B818AB809e31d80f9EDF59a3832DAb41bC-1766096429477
0x13071d80a9ad5e0552493f2b48209ec8bc625b63
- Realised P&L
- $53.38
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $81.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.055 | $22.44 | −$33.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.040 | $17.95 | −$32.05 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $9.64 | −$0.36 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.075 | $8.25 | −$6.55 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $7.50 | −$3.50 |
| Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.039 | $5.85 | −$1.60 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.164 | 0.090 | $4.50 | −$3.70 |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.060 | $4.18 | −$2.88 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.033 | $1.07 | −$1.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.48at 0.073Exact Score: Italy 3 - 1 Türkiye?
- +$21.68at 0.194France vs. England: O/U 7.5
- +$20.37at 0.080France vs. England: O/U 8.5
- +$19.16at 0.361Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$18.74at 0.042Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:05 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 21:48 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 21:21 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Deportivo Alavés? | BUY | 0.1039999958 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 21:16 | FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 19:34 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Deportivo Alavés? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-31 19:33 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 19:33 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Deportivo Alavés? | BUY | 0.0899999982 | $3.00 |
| 10-30 18:21 | Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.8069999852 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 17:24 | Exact Score: Konyaspor 1 - 2 Galatasaray SK? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 21:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.257 | $8.91 |
| 10-26 20:13 | Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 19:57 | Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7099999846 | $6.00 |
| 10-26 19:41 | Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 3 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK? | BUY | 0.1389999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 20:37 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 3 Crystal Palace FC? | SELL | 0.19 | $8.26 |
| 10-22 20:22 | Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 2 Crystal Palace FC? | SELL | 0.167 | $4.17 |