PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xA38105B818AB809e31d80f9EDF59a3832DAb41bC-1766096429477

0x13071d80a9ad5e0552493f2b48209ec8bc625b63

Realised P&L
$53.38
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$81.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1360.055$22.44−$33.17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$17.95−$32.05
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1400.135$9.64−$0.36
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1350.075$8.25−$6.55
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1100.075$7.50−$3.50
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0500.039$5.85−$1.60
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1640.090$4.50−$3.70
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1010.060$4.18−$2.88
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.0780.033$1.07−$1.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:05Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1399999989$10.00
10-31 21:48Spread: FC Barcelona (-5.5)BUY0.1$1.00
10-31 21:21Exact Score: FC Barcelona 5 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.1039999958$2.00
10-31 21:16FC Barcelona vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 5.5BUY0.6599999842$10.00
10-31 19:34Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-31 19:33Exact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.08$3.00
10-31 19:33Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.0899999982$3.00
10-30 18:21Konyaspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 6.5BUY0.8069999852$10.00
10-30 17:24Exact Score: Konyaspor 1 - 2 Galatasaray SK?BUY0.12$3.00
10-28 21:34Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.257$8.91
10-26 20:13Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-26 19:57Galatasaray SK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5BUY0.7099999846$6.00
10-26 19:41Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 3 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?BUY0.1389999962$5.00
10-22 20:37Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 3 Crystal Palace FC?SELL0.19$8.26
10-22 20:22Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 2 - 2 Crystal Palace FC?SELL0.167$4.17