letsgofrens
0x1302d67d8faa94bcf4f64cc16cc1bea82d6071fa
- Realised P&L
- $177.08
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $267.35
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.330 | $118.80 | −$33.60 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.436 | 0.431 | $77.67 | −$0.81 |
| Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No | 0.988 | 0.948 | $56.88 | −$2.40 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.175 | $14.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Powell say "Dissent" during October press conference? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during October press conference? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$65.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.51at 0.660Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
- +$85.36at 0.510Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$70.00at 0.500Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$42.90at 0.610Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$37.75at 0.639Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:59 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.45 | $54.00 |
| 09-16 02:59 | Will Vladan Đokić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.988 | $15.15 |
| 05-05 03:17 | Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3751625 | $30.01 |
| 05-05 03:17 | Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 03-25 16:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 03-25 16:06 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | SELL | 0.52 | $51.99 |
| 03-25 16:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 03-05 14:52 | Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 03-03 02:55 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $166.00 |
| 02-08 16:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $11.85 |
| 02-08 15:53 | Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8? | BUY | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 02-08 15:49 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.801 | $64.64 |
| 11-25 18:31 | Will Aztec launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.93 | $130.20 |
| 11-18 05:57 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"? | SELL | 0.015545 | $0.78 |
| 11-14 04:15 | Will Aztec launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.89 | $124.60 |