0x1301157ec12127ef23828301f1c3a0bb4e926a36
0x1301157ec12127ef23828301f1c3a0bb4e926a36
- Realised P&L
- $-114.45
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 189
- Open portfolio
- $1.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded189
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.615 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.175 | $0.76 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.09at 0.270Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?
- +$23.78at 0.303Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$23.05at 0.308Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $161 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$20.91at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$16.07at 0.389Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:01 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 16:27 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 07:37 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 23:37 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 12:02 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 04:02 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 11:59 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.5879998518 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7909999842 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 19:24 | United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 10:58 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 01:17 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 15:22 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:22 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 23:21 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |