0x12F04BB19edB5E59a1c41dB62F175eF9Fb422133-1782406402284
0x12f04bb19edb5e59a1c41db62f175ef9fb422133
- Realised P&L
- $-389.06
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $277.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.60at 0.672Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-09-12?
- +$165.82at 0.681Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
- +$157.22at 0.557Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)
- +$119.69at 0.866Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-09-15?
- +$106.77at 0.837Will PSV win on 2026-09-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:09 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5865497045 | $17.00 |
| 09-15 22:03 | Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $222.00 |
| 09-15 21:43 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $521.09 |
| 09-15 19:53 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | BUY | 0.6699999998 | $349.48 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $355.86 |
| 09-15 18:01 | Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5499999978 | $101.80 |
| 09-15 18:00 | Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.8609054931 | $104.85 |
| 09-15 17:51 | Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999988 | $92.41 |
| 09-15 17:47 | Will Riga FC win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.22 | $98.74 |
| 09-15 16:13 | Spread: Al Ain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $395.00 |
| 09-15 15:50 | Will Riga FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.8399999996 | $377.00 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Will RKS Rakow Czestochowa win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5299999924 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Will Zaglebie Lubin win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7799999987 | $95.00 |
| 09-15 15:10 | Will FC Pohang Steelers win on 2026-09-15? | SELL | 0.999 | $899.48 |
| 09-15 14:15 | Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $29.84 |