ferconelrejas
0x12ef831922d1e3440dcd81347e9f2e67468a21d7
- Realised P&L
- $-58.71
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.28at 0.090Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?
- +$9.41at 0.210Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?
- +$7.11at 0.260Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
- +$3.32at 0.430Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?
- +$-0.02at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 01:56 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 82°F or higher on June 14? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.41 |
| 06-06 04:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on June 7? | BUY | 0.0159826619 | $1.23 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.03 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.0104 | $2.08 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.013687 | $5.47 |
| 06-05 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.0300316 | $15.02 |
| 06-05 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.50 |
| 06-04 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5? | SELL | 0.94 | $0.99 |
| 06-04 16:48 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |