FC2049
0x12eb5697ecfb4c1d82938370c1154e77a3395f50
- Realised P&L
- $-1.12
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $1.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.98at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
- +$14.57at 0.412Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
- +$10.47at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?
- +$7.41at 0.711Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?
- +$5.79at 0.797Will Donald Trump dance on June 8, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 19:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.0115154953 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.1073196884 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.997 | $28.84 |
| 09-26 13:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.96 | $27.78 |
| 09-24 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $22.00 |
| 09-24 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.09 |
| 09-24 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9499999584 | $16.00 |
| 09-24 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.6358036956 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.19 |
| 09-24 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9361617276 | $6.00 |
| 09-23 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |