PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FC2049

0x12eb5697ecfb4c1d82938370c1154e77a3395f50

Realised P&L
$-1.12
Volume
$8.1k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$1.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.0110.007$0.61−$0.39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27? · Yes0.1070.015$0.56−$3.44
Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$2.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 15? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.20
Trump kiss by May 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10? · No0.6000.000$0.00−$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 19:52Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.0115154953$1.00
09-26 18:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 27?BUY0.1073196884$4.00
09-26 18:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?SELL0.997$28.84
09-26 13:37Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?BUY0.96$27.78
09-24 22:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?BUY0.8$22.00
09-24 22:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?SELL0.999$22.09
09-24 15:24Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.939999812$2.00
09-24 15:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.9499999584$16.00
09-24 13:33Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.6358036956$2.00
09-24 13:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?SELL0.999$2.19
09-24 00:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?BUY0.91$2.00
09-24 00:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 24?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-23 15:21Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 23?BUY0.9361617276$6.00
09-23 15:20Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
06-21 15:50Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21?SELL0.002$0.04