PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Quantumleap17

0x12e7691753106cf845dd98643be59d71f425b7ae

Realised P&L
$-152.53
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$77.81

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3590.161$20.11$24.88
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3400.115$16.91$33.09
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2800.135$10.61$11.39
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0960.034$10.43$19.57
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.2200.105$9.55$10.45
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2000.055$5.50$14.50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.020$4.70$0.30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-24 05:10Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.2799999929$22.00
05-24 05:07Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?SELL0.24$4.14
05-24 05:06Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.11$18.33
05-24 04:09Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?BUY0.289999964$5.00
05-24 04:07Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?SELL0.1458793687$5.18
05-22 19:50Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?BUY0.309999989$11.00
05-15 13:58Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.3589999956$44.99
05-15 13:372026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.2199999936$20.00
05-15 13:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1799999958$30.00
05-15 13:36Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.096364489$30.00
05-15 13:36Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.3399999967$50.00
05-15 13:36Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.2$20.00
05-15 13:33Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0212660244$5.00
05-15 13:32Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0819999959$20.00