Quantumleap17
0x12e7691753106cf845dd98643be59d71f425b7ae
- Realised P&L
- $-152.53
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $77.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.359 | 0.161 | $20.11 | −$24.88 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.115 | $16.91 | −$33.09 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.135 | $10.61 | −$11.39 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.034 | $10.43 | −$19.57 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.220 | 0.105 | $9.55 | −$10.45 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes | 0.200 | 0.055 | $5.50 | −$14.50 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.020 | $4.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.86at 0.290Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$-5.82at 0.310Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$-11.67at 0.180Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 05:10 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999929 | $22.00 |
| 05-24 05:07 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.14 |
| 05-24 05:06 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $18.33 |
| 05-24 04:09 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 04:07 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | SELL | 0.1458793687 | $5.18 |
| 05-22 19:50 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | BUY | 0.309999989 | $11.00 |
| 05-15 13:58 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3589999956 | $44.99 |
| 05-15 13:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.2199999936 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 13:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 05-15 13:36 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.096364489 | $30.00 |
| 05-15 13:36 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 05-15 13:36 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 05-15 13:33 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0212660244 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:32 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0819999959 | $20.00 |