petrstein
0x12e67747cf0cda04c355e86d0c0bf7e5fb8ad6cd
- Realised P&L
- $-620.62
- Volume
- $196.1k
- Markets traded
- 848
- Open portfolio
- $63.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded848
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? · No | 0.843 | 0.898 | $53.91 | +$3.33 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.006 | $9.45 | +$3.46 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.11 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.707Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
- +$848.57at 0.755Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
- +$593.45at 0.773Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$442.04at 0.788Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
- +$340.80at 0.816Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:33 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8430833333 | $50.58 |
| 10-30 22:51 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.922 | $64.54 |
| 10-30 11:11 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $52.50 |
| 10-26 12:11 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.45 |
| 10-26 12:10 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 10-25 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $82.36 |
| 10-23 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $68.00 |
| 10-20 07:35 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0044022319 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 07:34 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.9902958333 | $71.30 |
| 10-19 17:55 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $44.11 |
| 10-16 11:42 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.8619999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 11:41 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.859 | $12.03 |
| 10-14 01:33 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.8737055282 | $47.89 |
| 10-13 09:29 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $59.46 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $42.20 |