0x12E64FB626a20954b40Bcfb94F0f4637fa8E04E1-1778668801463
0x12e64fb626a20954b40bcfb94f0f4637fa8e04e1
- Realised P&L
- $-30.79
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $5.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.82at 0.351LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
- +$2.42at 0.361Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 15?
- +$1.98at 0.337LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI
- +$1.82at 0.361LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier
- +$1.61at 0.467Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:43 | Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3215600982 | $3.81 |
| 09-13 14:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999989 | $1.88 |
| 09-13 14:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 16:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $77 on August 4? | BUY | 0.2889998949 | $1.63 |
| 08-04 15:59 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:16 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.17 |
| 08-04 10:44 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.0029812925 | $0.02 |
| 08-04 10:28 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.999 | $2.85 |
| 08-04 00:35 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.5499999345 | $1.68 |
| 08-04 00:20 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:20 | LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:19 | LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 00:19 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:30 | LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 15:29 | LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Season | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |