PolyBot

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Traders

bali857

0x12dfa32d9bb7626ba65d85714f0390bd4eed64d2

Realised P&L
$173.02
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
411
Open portfolio
$305.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded411
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Xtreme Gaming0.6800.665$304.76−$6.87
Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? · No0.0700.016$0.56−$1.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 05:23Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.6799999997$311.63
09-25 17:17Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.7799999999$248.63
09-25 14:55Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsBUY0.68$148.24
09-25 14:20Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?SELL0.95$42.50
09-25 14:20Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?SELL0.95$0.64
09-25 13:10Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25?BUY0.4740313867$57.58
09-25 02:44Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.3178633332$10.25
09-25 02:42Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.3137756461$3.68
09-24 16:24Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.3857883328$4.58
09-24 16:12Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?SELL0.0515317434$3.07
09-24 16:02Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.31$24.72
09-24 14:20Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.37$5.28
09-24 14:04Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?BUY0.0699999991$1.59
09-24 13:55Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.5890128218$12.18
09-24 13:35Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24?SELL0.05$2.48