bali857
0x12dfa32d9bb7626ba65d85714f0390bd4eed64d2
- Realised P&L
- $173.02
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 411
- Open portfolio
- $305.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded411
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Xtreme Gaming | 0.680 | 0.665 | $304.76 | −$6.87 |
| Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election? · No | 0.070 | 0.016 | $0.56 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.54at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
- +$151.55at 0.282Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?
- +$89.11at 0.154Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?
- +$71.97at 0.277Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?
- +$66.15at 0.792Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 05:23 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.6799999997 | $311.63 |
| 09-25 17:17 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.7799999999 | $248.63 |
| 09-25 14:55 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.68 | $148.24 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.95 | $42.50 |
| 09-25 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.95 | $0.64 |
| 09-25 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4740313867 | $57.58 |
| 09-25 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3178633332 | $10.25 |
| 09-25 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3137756461 | $3.68 |
| 09-24 16:24 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.3857883328 | $4.58 |
| 09-24 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.0515317434 | $3.07 |
| 09-24 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.31 | $24.72 |
| 09-24 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.28 |
| 09-24 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.0699999991 | $1.59 |
| 09-24 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5890128218 | $12.18 |
| 09-24 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.48 |