PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF7a96

0x12df316209e26a4cc7c79b947d25977c4150090d

Realised P&L
$-568.53
Volume
$31.8k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$8.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$5.35$5.35
Will Jude Bellingham be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0900.028$1.99$4.41
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$0.80$0.65
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0640.006$0.19$1.79
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0710.003$0.11$3.09
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4700.000$0.00$6.91
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$135.16
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes0.4040.000$0.00$4.60
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner · PARIVISION0.6800.000$0.00$140.45
Will American Express say "Airline" during earnings call? · No0.0690.000$0.00$12.61
Will Intel say "Data Center" 5+ times during earnings call? · No0.0950.000$0.00$8.05
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00$131.83
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00$8.86
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" 3+ times during the France vs England FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.4730.000$0.00$24.67
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs · Team Liquid0.1900.000$0.00$2.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 11:24Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?SELL0.8$24.44
07-25 03:33Will Warsh say "Tax" during July Press Conference?BUY0.7699999977$22.95
07-24 11:10Will American Express say "Tariff" during earnings call?BUY0.75$30.60
07-24 11:10Will American Express say "Tariff" during earnings call?BUY0.75$7.65
07-24 11:10Will American Express say "Tariff" during earnings call?BUY0.75$15.30
07-24 10:26Will Verizon say "Spectrum" during earnings call?BUY0.7998990502$46.75
07-24 10:10Will American Express say "Luxury" during earnings call?BUY0.68$17.85
07-24 05:07Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?BUY0.5879841176$13.14
07-24 05:07Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?BUY0.46999998$10.36
07-24 05:07Will Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?BUY0.48$4.44
07-24 03:42Will Verizon say "Leverage" during earnings call?BUY0.0899999553$1.75
07-24 03:19Will Procter & Gamble say "Customer" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.2299999943$22.88
07-24 02:57Will American Express say "Airline" during earnings call?BUY0.0687057734$12.61
07-23 16:06Will Verizon say "Public" during earnings call?BUY0.62$21.54
07-23 12:38Will American Express say "Inventory" during earnings call?BUY0.2199999674$4.32