FGH545
0x12df01a6c4d7fcf8023e5db6d48c1e7e85a3a21b
- Realised P&L
- $203.07
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $39.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $4.99 | −$0.00 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.54at 0.002Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$123.19at 0.005Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$51.55at 0.007Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$3.15at 0.356Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
- +$2.73at 0.439Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:42 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:53 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:52 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 02:51 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 08:48 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 08:48 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-11 08:47 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-11 08:47 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-06 08:57 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-06 08:56 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.997668 | $4.99 |