gutierrezbelinda
0x12dbe40af9c28333d358ae24e5ad0eaedf10b446
- Realised P&L
- $-29.51
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $53.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 11? · Yes | 0.852 | 0.986 | $30.22 | +$4.09 |
| Spread: North Texas (-27.5) · North Texas | 0.540 | 0.560 | $22.78 | +$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.15at 0.440Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$9.23at 0.660Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$3.90at 0.600Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$1.25at 0.950Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$0.27at 0.983Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.996 | $19.79 |
| 01-30 12:33 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.93 |
| 01-30 12:00 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $23.04 |
| 01-30 11:56 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.16 |
| 12-30 17:45 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.998999996 | $1.99 |
| 12-30 16:48 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.87 |
| 12-30 13:51 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $14.06 |
| 12-30 00:15 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999635 | $9.64 |
| 12-29 23:10 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.96 |
| 12-29 20:01 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.995999995 | $30.12 |
| 10-31 15:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in October? | BUY | 0.9989999526 | $17.17 |
| 10-30 18:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.36 |
| 09-29 16:28 | Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.47 |
| 09-29 16:07 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.71 |
| 09-29 04:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September? | BUY | 0.9979999318 | $11.04 |