Winning2...
0x12d9a4302be53dd8c9f13aabfbdf3518f1c001bb
- Realised P&L
- $-80.6k
- Volume
- $9.21M
- Markets traded
- 3,637
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,637
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.395 | $1.2k | −$13.72 |
| Will Zhetysu Taldykorgan win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$116.25 |
| FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.369 | 0.001 | $1.16 | −$851.57 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$349.99 |
| Will Suzhou Dongwu win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.150Timberwolves vs. Jazz
- +$4.2kat 0.160Rockets vs. Kings
- +$4.0kat 0.115Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
- +$3.9kat 0.110Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$3.8kat 0.266Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:08 | AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $1.2k |
| 10-10 14:08 | AD Ceuta FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $51.06 |
| 10-10 13:15 | FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.38 | $164.54 |
| 10-10 13:15 | FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $168.87 |
| 10-10 13:15 | FC Kairat Almaty vs. Zhetysu Taldykorgan: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $174.33 |
| 10-10 13:07 | Chengdu Rongcheng FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.1 | $219.85 |
| 10-10 11:06 | Will Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2699744493 | $528.31 |
| 10-10 11:03 | Dalian Kun City vs. Changchun Yatai: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.29 | $124.12 |
| 10-10 09:58 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $56.16 |
| 10-10 09:57 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2786201854 | $236.25 |
| 10-10 09:57 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.268693263 | $240.58 |
| 10-10 09:57 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $56.16 |
| 10-10 09:56 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $30.42 |
| 10-10 09:56 | FC Irtysh Pavlodar vs. FC Kyzylzhar SK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4760761509 | $939.01 |
| 10-10 09:44 | Júbilo Iwata vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4488235294 | $76.30 |