PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

skajksj

0x12d91c9f531cdbaf2e6494add442362ab9011a06

Realised P&L
$-88.67
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$11.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hotstuff FDV above $20M one day after launch? · Yes0.3400.225$11.25−$5.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 00:33Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.19$0.95
09-26 00:03Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.17$8.50
09-26 00:03Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?SELL0.38$12.45
09-25 23:44Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?SELL0.011$0.55
09-25 23:32Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Single of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?SELL0.23$3.45
09-25 23:09Will Teresa Surita win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?SELL0.71$35.50
09-25 22:41Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?SELL0.09$3.02
09-25 22:35LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?SELL0.03$0.30
09-25 19:33LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?SELL0.04$1.60
09-25 17:33Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?SELL0.72$36.00
09-25 16:08Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.051$0.11
09-25 15:06Will “Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?SELL0.05$1.00
09-25 15:06Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?SELL0.08$1.86
09-25 14:48Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$34.00
09-25 12:55Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.6$30.00