PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x12d8CBb2a228313be55395a14468891f2D706f74-1782571581611

0x12d8cbb2a228313be55395a14468891f2d706f74

Realised P&L
$-20.08
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
46
Open portfolio
$69.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded46
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1470.217$43.58+$14.11
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.4550.440$18.07−$0.60
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0230.028$7.04+$1.04
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0460.021$0.45−$0.55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$0.18−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 07:31Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.4899999975$15.67
10-24 10:22Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0516590654$15.68
10-23 14:30Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0479999999$13.45
10-22 14:00Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.1499999986$10.46
10-22 13:59Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.165$10.51
10-17 08:25Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?BUY0.1449999992$19.01
10-13 14:36Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3139999976$10.00
10-13 14:27Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3139999976$10.00
10-13 14:26Will the Dallas Mavericks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.3299999489$2.00
10-13 14:25Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0239999999$5.00
10-13 14:23Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.039$0.75
10-13 14:23Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.22$0.95
10-13 14:22Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.033$0.58
10-13 14:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.621$15.25
09-08 16:19Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1129999939$2.00