sixming
0x12d7110674e7464d2590c0ab96cfa93fddd8cf4b
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $277.4k
- Markets traded
- 397
- Open portfolio
- $459.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded397
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.970 | 0.976 | $320.45 | +$1.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $138.90 | +$0.73 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 28? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $73,000 on August 20? · No | 0.959 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$151.57at 0.732Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in February?
- +$151.11at 0.655Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
- +$141.56at 0.463Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$140.78at 0.229Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.86 | $355.74 |
| 10-06 01:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.967 | $400.00 |
| 10-06 01:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.98842678 | $562.79 |
| 10-05 11:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.98 | $558.00 |
| 10-04 23:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9788494308 | $55.00 |
| 10-04 23:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.977515119 | $300.00 |
| 10-04 23:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $355.92 |
| 10-04 10:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.994 | $117.00 |
| 10-04 10:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9929355235 | $77.00 |
| 10-02 06:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? | BUY | 0.6299999986 | $110.00 |
| 10-02 06:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.955 | $220.73 |
| 10-02 04:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.975 | $140.00 |
| 10-02 04:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9331601543 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 04:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 2? | SELL | 0.9729001602 | $182.22 |
| 10-02 03:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9719999999 | $183.00 |