0x12d6a7a4B2a54bc9AB4DF239117ba165d7307e8D-1781567113127
0x12d6a7a4b2a54bc9ab4df239117ba165d7307e8d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $101.8k
- Markets traded
- 260
- Open portfolio
- $0.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded260
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.44at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$249.67at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
- +$241.21at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$192.00at 0.181Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
- +$158.70at 0.267Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $12.99 |
| 09-24 00:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 00:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5216792144 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 23:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 23:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6849784232 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 23:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $53.99 |
| 09-23 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 23:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-23 23:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |