PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x12d6a7a4B2a54bc9AB4DF239117ba165d7307e8D-1781567113127

0x12d6a7a4b2a54bc9ab4df239117ba165d7307e8d

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$101.8k
Markets traded
260
Open portfolio
$0.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded260
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.4050.001$0.06$44.94
Dota 2: YBN Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B · YBN Team0.1000.001$0.03$4.97
Dota 2: YBN Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 Winner · YBN Team0.2350.001$0.01$4.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Two Move (BO3) - European Pro League Group B · Two Move0.6470.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down0.1370.000$0.00$35.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.5220.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET · Down0.3240.000$0.00$52.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Up0.2320.000$0.00$37.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00$60.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Down0.1990.000$0.00$34.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.6880.000$0.00$7.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-24 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.3399999966$2.00
09-24 01:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-24 00:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSELL0.78$12.99
09-24 00:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.299999994$5.00
09-24 00:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.5216792144$20.00
09-24 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.3399999966$20.00
09-23 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.629999995$20.00
09-23 23:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.669999995$20.00
09-23 23:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.6849784232$20.00
09-23 23:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETSELL0.94$53.99
09-23 23:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.469999906$2.00
09-23 23:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.4699999944$5.00
09-23 23:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ETBUY0.4699999944$20.00
09-23 23:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.1399999989$5.00