PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

CipherHound

0x12cec4e0e7dfb571fc1b2a1cb946d64440818919

Realised P&L
$-568.52
Volume
$29.2k
Markets traded
292
Open portfolio
$401.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded292
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9300.964$98.96+$3.49
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9410.965$47.95+$1.17
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9100.959$47.81+$2.42
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · Yes0.4550.315$43.00−$19.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes0.2670.225$36.00−$6.66
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · No0.3310.325$33.03−$0.61
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? · Yes0.3900.505$25.25+$5.75
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? · No0.5400.495$17.32−$1.57
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.3500.345$17.25−$0.25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.4300.165$16.50−$26.50
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0520.079$11.78+$3.92
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0420.044$6.60+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 18? · Yes0.7040.000$0.00−$7.50
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.40
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.0400.000$0.00−$1.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 16:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?SELL0.32$16.00
10-09 12:42Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?SELL0.37$0.74
10-09 12:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.3799999996$20.00
10-09 00:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.35$17.85
10-08 19:34Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?BUY0.34$17.00
10-08 12:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.26$13.00
10-07 20:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?SELL0.63$9.45
10-07 19:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.27$2.16
10-07 17:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?SELL0.52$25.48
10-07 17:43Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.35$17.50
10-07 16:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?SELL0.252$12.60
10-07 14:00Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October?BUY0.39$19.50
10-07 13:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.67$10.05
10-07 10:19Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.4$13.60
10-07 09:36Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?BUY0.4$21.00