CipherHound
0x12cec4e0e7dfb571fc1b2a1cb946d64440818919
- Realised P&L
- $-568.52
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 292
- Open portfolio
- $401.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded292
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$59.23at 0.155Bitcoin Up or Down on June 27?
- +$47.10at 0.062Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia?
- +$37.22at 0.410Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$31.71at 0.372Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.39at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down on June 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 16:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.32 | $16.00 |
| 10-09 12:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.74 |
| 10-09 12:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-09 00:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.85 |
| 10-08 19:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 10-08 12:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 10-07 20:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 10-07 19:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 10-07 17:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.52 | $25.48 |
| 10-07 17:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 10-07 16:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | SELL | 0.252 | $12.60 |
| 10-07 14:00 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in October? | BUY | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 10-07 13:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.67 | $10.05 |
| 10-07 10:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4 | $13.60 |
| 10-07 09:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4 | $21.00 |