PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

elelondelagente

0x12ccc5f324da4337838dd7a2c5b42c59bc93275d

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$259.3k
Markets traded
1,499
Open portfolio
$623.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,499
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.7930.820$246.04+$8.17
Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2750.330$132.00+$22.15
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? · Yes0.4200.535$106.99+$23.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2? · No0.7510.695$55.60−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2? · No0.7400.730$36.50−$0.50
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.075$30.00−$11.06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2? · No0.8170.785$16.48−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:13Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.74$18.50
11-02 00:12Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on November 2?BUY0.74$18.50
11-02 00:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.758$37.90
11-02 00:10Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.74$22.20
11-02 00:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.85$9.35
11-02 00:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on November 2?BUY0.78$7.80
11-01 23:08Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?SELL0.134$4.02
11-01 23:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?SELL0.999$64.93
11-01 20:57Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 1?SELL0.99$62.68
11-01 20:55Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?SELL0.99$30.08
11-01 20:55Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 1?BUY0.8561619487$26.01
11-01 20:50Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.84$8.40
11-01 20:48Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on November 1?BUY0.77$3.85
11-01 20:41Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?BUY0.899$8.99
11-01 20:40Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 1?BUY0.8253210011$37.92