trader-12c40e6e
0x12c40e6e7e2243fb5a9b7918d3fb114cedbad6a8
- Realised P&L
- $-15.10
- Volume
- $975.37
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.983 | $3.79 | +$0.13 |
| Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.985 | $1.19 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.84at 0.387Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
- +$5.04at 0.361The Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns
- +$4.55at 0.769Will England win on 2026-09-17?
- +$3.35at 0.537Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score
- +$2.93at 0.542Swedish Open, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 02:31 | Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.12 |
| 10-01 00:41 | Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.949999869 | $1.45 |
| 09-30 23:54 | Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.09 |
| 09-30 22:31 | Will Tunisia vs. Mali end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9199999668 | $1.11 |
| 09-29 14:55 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | BUY | 0.95 | $1.53 |
| 09-29 14:54 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | BUY | 0.95 | $2.21 |
| 09-29 14:49 | Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck | BUY | 0.9609999867 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 14:24 | Mouilleron-le-Captif: Mathys Erhard vs Alberto Barroso Campos | BUY | 0.9 | $2.59 |
| 09-28 01:04 | Spread: Rams (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5899999381 | $1.62 |
| 09-27 20:08 | Texans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.88 | $1.16 |
| 09-27 19:44 | Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 58.5 | BUY | 0.2999999703 | $1.01 |
| 09-27 19:39 | Spread: Dolphins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.98 | $2.55 |
| 09-27 00:35 | Canada vs. Chile: O/U 13.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.3299999519 | $1.44 |
| 09-25 11:23 | Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $1.73 |
| 09-24 21:20 | W50 Berkeley, CA: Yara Bartashevich vs Anna Rogers | BUY | 0.839999969 | $3.25 |