PolyBot

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Traders

Nancy-Pelosi

0x12c010bd85a7cd6db0a9f3febcbfc31ee6bb7bd8

Realised P&L
$4.8k
Volume
$5.88M
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$166.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1890.050$166.00$460.48
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.2600.000$0.00$130.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$894.78
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$709.96
Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$200.00
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$699.99
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer? · No0.0460.000$0.00$601.96
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? · No0.0290.000$0.00$99.59
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$301.00
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00$1.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:15Will GPT-5 be released by August 5?BUY0.13$248.69
07-25 20:18Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?BUY0.2$327.98
04-30 16:44New pandemic in 2025?SELL0.09$66.91
01-28 18:58RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?BUY0.26$1.1k
01-21 02:06Will Trump issue 20-24 executive orders on Day 1?BUY0.25$495.00
01-20 23:23Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?BUY0.99$841.22
01-20 22:58Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1?BUY0.0827350853$31.23
01-20 22:39Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?SELL0.3007848523$153.29
01-20 21:27Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?BUY0.3097900439$295.10
01-19 19:23Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?BUY0.1723514608$1.00
01-15 22:26Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?BUY0.11$1.5k
01-14 19:51Yoon arrested by January 31?SELL0.59$2.95
01-14 19:51Yoon arrested by January 31?SELL0.3901871804$4.1k
01-10 04:29Will Michelle Obama attend presidential inauguration?BUY0.28$16.75
01-10 04:26Yoon arrested by Friday?BUY0.0405$0.81