PolyBot

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Traders

NVH01

0x12bc9f12e3aebd4033b7072c9545f9c56ca3d735

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$359.9k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$7.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0260.026$2.5k+$59.32
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.019$2.0k+$344.65
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.8600.945$1.7k+$149.62
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6530.669$1.1k+$26.98
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1820.124$272.93−$127.07
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$130.00
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.3620.000$0.00−$9.07
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$800.00
Pacers vs. Thunder · Thunder0.8900.000$0.00−$16.91
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 08:48Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6526791141$1.1k
05-24 19:06Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8099998582$4.00
04-07 03:34Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.6899999997$650.00
04-07 03:34US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.997$166.16
03-20 19:27US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$100.00
03-08 23:18Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1817324137$400.00
03-08 23:17Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0259999999$400.00
03-08 23:13Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0184220127$1.0k
03-08 23:11Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?SELL0.9851490292$5.2k
03-08 21:15Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?SELL0.5448699502$9.85
03-08 19:46Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.026$2.0k
03-08 19:45US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.6864175767$2.1k
03-05 04:20Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8599428962$1.5k
03-05 03:48US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.6005203619$1.1k
03-04 11:30Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?BUY0.94$5.0k