NVH01
0x12bc9f12e3aebd4033b7072c9545f9c56ca3d735
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $358.3k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.025 | $2.4k | −$44.42 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.860 | 0.865 | $1.5k | +$9.13 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.013 | $1.3k | −$359.33 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.118 | $260.82 | −$139.18 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.362 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.07 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.00 |
| Pacers vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.91 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.5kat 0.526US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$970.59at 0.340Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$338.68at 0.383Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$292.03at 0.690Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$275.90at 0.578US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-24 19:06 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8099998582 | $4.00 |
| 04-07 03:34 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6899999997 | $650.00 |
| 04-07 03:34 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $166.16 |
| 03-20 19:27 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 03-08 23:18 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1817324137 | $400.00 |
| 03-08 23:17 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0259999999 | $400.00 |
| 03-08 23:13 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0184220127 | $1.0k |
| 03-08 23:11 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.9851490292 | $5.2k |
| 03-08 21:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.5448699502 | $9.85 |
| 03-08 19:46 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.026 | $2.0k |
| 03-08 19:45 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.6864175767 | $2.1k |
| 03-05 04:20 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8599428962 | $1.5k |
| 03-05 03:48 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.6005203619 | $1.1k |
| 03-04 11:30 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.0k |
| 03-04 11:30 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.5216352869 | $5.0k |