PolyBot

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Traders

0x12bc10f7d813de3733bfbadad04936d00fc75def

0x12bc10f7d813de3733bfbadad04936d00fc75def

Realised P&L
$75.07
Volume
$16.2k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on October 30? · Yes0.0990.001$0.25−$48.55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 27? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$44.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 29? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$47.61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 26? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$39.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 24? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$30.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 29? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$47.61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 25? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$34.71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 27? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$44.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 27? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$44.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on October 25? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$34.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 07:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?SELL0.001$0.38
10-29 03:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29?SELL0.0055660664$2.31
10-29 01:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 29?SELL0.001$0.07
10-29 01:03Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 29?BUY0.9884467857$27.68
10-28 05:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28?SELL0.001$0.30
10-28 03:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?SELL0.001$0.00
10-28 03:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?BUY0.9289999086$3.83
10-28 03:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28?SELL0.001$0.47
10-27 10:30Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?BUY0.983$9.83
10-27 10:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?BUY0.983$24.57
10-27 10:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28?BUY0.983$24.57
10-27 06:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?SELL0.02023829$9.16
10-27 03:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27?SELL0.002$0.05
10-27 03:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?SELL0.018716578$3.98
10-27 03:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?SELL0.0416187353$9.01