0x12bc10f7d813de3733bfbadad04936d00fc75def
0x12bc10f7d813de3733bfbadad04936d00fc75def
- Realised P&L
- $75.07
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$436.26at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?
- +$425.44at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 28?
- +$407.02at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?
- +$352.99at 0.173Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?
- +$321.70at 0.097Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.38 |
| 10-29 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.0055660664 | $2.31 |
| 10-29 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 10-29 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 29? | BUY | 0.9884467857 | $27.68 |
| 10-28 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 10-28 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 10-28 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.9289999086 | $3.83 |
| 10-28 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.47 |
| 10-27 10:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.983 | $9.83 |
| 10-27 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.983 | $24.57 |
| 10-27 10:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.983 | $24.57 |
| 10-27 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.02023829 | $9.16 |
| 10-27 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 10-27 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.018716578 | $3.98 |
| 10-27 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27? | SELL | 0.0416187353 | $9.01 |