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Traders

Chanseul

0x12b690765878a65d035605aa60811c733657d759

Realised P&L
$-4.1k
Volume
$153.6k
Markets traded
2,035
Open portfolio
$16.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,035
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 25? · Yes0.6200.595$10.96−$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 26? · Yes0.4300.485$4.25+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.2300.045$0.90−$3.70
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 26? · Yes0.3000.385$0.58+$0.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.3700.000$0.00−$4.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Down0.2540.000$0.00−$5.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.1370.000$0.00−$14.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.2630.000$0.00−$15.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$4.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$0.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00−$3.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00−$4.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.1730.000$0.00−$14.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Down0.1600.000$0.00−$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.68$37.12
07-19 15:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.64$63.33
07-19 15:42Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.7$68.58
07-19 14:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.676168$67.62
07-19 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.83$40.68
07-19 14:07Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.82$41.81
07-19 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.84$42.01
07-19 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.8320244049$41.59
07-19 13:17Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.84$84.00
07-19 12:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.87$87.00
07-19 11:47Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.79$3.95
07-19 11:37Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.78$3.90
07-19 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.73$3.65
07-19 11:22Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETBUY0.69$3.45
07-19 11:13Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.92$4.60
Trader Chanseul · PolyBot Pro