music6
0x12b1da9dd64eb0e8065a5c6903cd0ba69f62f0bc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.36
- Volume
- $117.68
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.998 | $2.91 | +$0.01 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.958 | 0.958 | $2.87 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? · Yes | 0.901 | 0.954 | $2.84 | +$0.16 |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.970 | 0.971 | $1.09 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 16? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.03at 0.985Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?
- +$0.01at 0.992Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 16? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 09-15 12:16 | Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.09 |
| 09-15 12:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9939996696 | $2.90 |
| 09-15 12:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9009999418 | $2.68 |
| 09-08 16:56 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.983999996 | $1.95 |
| 09-08 16:54 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.9579999927 | $2.87 |
| 09-08 16:53 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.66 |
| 08-29 09:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9939999979 | $1.87 |
| 08-29 09:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.12 |