Sourcexbt
0x12a0417c6f7aa762c11e97dfa0856d74b048dae2
- Realised P&L
- $-82.19
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $12.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.40at 0.080Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?
- +$11.40at 0.090Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$9.29at 0.070Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
- +$7.05at 0.210Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?
- +$6.80at 0.130Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 18:35 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.24 |
| 09-10 18:04 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.192 | $2.88 |
| 09-10 18:03 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 09-08 19:26 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.74 |
| 09-05 18:55 | Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 15:07 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.078 | $1.56 |
| 09-02 15:07 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 11:19 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 17:42 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 20:32 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-14 20:13 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-11 09:49 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 08:43 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.033 | $0.99 |
| 08-01 16:10 | Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.20 |