PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sourcexbt

0x12a0417c6f7aa762c11e97dfa0856d74b048dae2

Realised P&L
$-82.19
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
127
Open portfolio
$12.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded127
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? · Yes0.1900.515$10.30+$6.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1500.041$2.05$5.45
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-02-21? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 30? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00$4.02
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-26? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$3.90
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.50
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-21? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.20
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$2.20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-21? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.00
Will Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.80
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.02
Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-01? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 18:35Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.02$0.24
09-10 18:04Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-10 18:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.192$2.88
09-10 18:03Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.078$1.56
09-08 19:26Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?BUY0.09$1.74
09-05 18:55Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?BUY0.04$1.00
09-02 15:07Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.078$1.56
09-02 15:07Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2$3.00
08-25 11:19GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.09$1.00
08-20 17:42GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-14 20:32Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-14?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-14 20:13Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?BUY0.15$1.50
08-11 09:49Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?BUY0.01$1.00
08-02 08:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?BUY0.033$0.99
08-01 16:10Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.003$0.20