tmadsqq
0x129fa10dd812fd34b60e0b06928902eb776e36cc
- Realised P&L
- $-35.95
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $670.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor · Galatasaray | 0.740 | 0.710 | $127.80 | −$5.40 |
| Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste · Ferro Carril Oeste | 0.480 | 0.455 | $116.03 | −$6.32 |
| Spread: Galatasaray (-8.5) · Galatasaray | 0.469 | 0.415 | $51.88 | −$6.82 |
| Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor · Bursaspor | 0.280 | 0.290 | $9.26 | +$0.32 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.37 |
| Yan Diomandé: Anytime Goalscorer · No | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.71 |
| Spread: Albania (-3.5) · Albania | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.71 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier · Holger Rune | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$152.93 |
| Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.57at 0.633China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
- +$215.98at 0.280Kylian Mbappé: Anytime Goalscorer
- +$215.00at 0.570Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05?
- +$58.37at 0.422Game Spread: Holger Rune (-3.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+3.5)
- +$14.70at 0.412Will Iceland win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:43 | Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste | BUY | 0.48 | $72.00 |
| 10-11 20:42 | Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste | BUY | 0.479999 | $48.00 |
| 10-11 20:42 | Atenas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-11 20:37 | Spread: Galatasaray (-8.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $28.20 |
| 10-11 20:37 | Spread: Galatasaray (-8.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $28.20 |
| 10-11 20:37 | Spread: Galatasaray (-8.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 10-11 20:35 | Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 10-11 20:35 | Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 10-11 20:35 | Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor | BUY | 0.74 | $44.40 |
| 10-11 20:33 | Galatasaray vs. Bursaspor | BUY | 0.28 | $8.94 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.02 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.22 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $25.06 |
| 10-08 17:30 | Will AS FAR vs. Wydad Sportif Témara end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $22.87 |
| 10-07 15:08 | Game Spread: Holger Rune (-3.5) vs Daniel Altmaier (+3.5) | BUY | 0.41 | $41.41 |