PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

musk919

0x12984219dee0e727a9a85066ab6e9f3f4aeb4658

Realised P&L
$73.65
Volume
$77.0k
Markets traded
134
Open portfolio
$67.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded134
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9910.998$16.96+$0.11
Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.5000.575$14.38+$1.88
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September? · No0.9981.000$13.00+$0.03
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7100.645$12.90−$1.30
Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8300.680$10.20−$2.25
MetaMask airdrop in 2024? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$0.29
Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.26
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the Chicago Bears make the 2024-25 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$0.12
Will Mike Rogers be Trump's Defense Secretary? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$0.99
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? · 90k0.3750.000$0.00−$3.80
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00−$3.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 06:44Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?BUY0.998$12.97
09-26 06:44Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.71$14.20
09-26 06:44Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5$12.50
09-26 06:43Will Ethereum hit $3k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.83$12.45
08-11 10:47Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$16.85
08-11 10:46Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34$10.20
08-11 10:46Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$10.79
08-11 10:45Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.994$12.92
06-05 09:49Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$121.76
06-05 09:48Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.926$11.07
06-05 09:48Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.979$13.82
06-05 09:47Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$17.96
06-05 09:47Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.998$20.96
05-04 08:08Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?BUY0.998$32.93
05-04 08:07Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.998$20.96