PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Halley01

0x128b01c68900a23798d151b7f56942d9f6fb7c4f

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$156.0k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026? · No0.9820.985$1.4k+$4.46
Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026? · No0.9870.983$1.3k−$5.74
Will UBS fail by end of 2026? · No0.9780.988$741.00+$7.78
Will Citigroup fail by end of 2026? · No0.9810.967$579.90−$8.79
Will Santander fail by end of 2026? · No0.9820.968$387.20−$5.41
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.9870.977$107.42−$1.16
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting? · Yes0.9700.000$0.00−$1.0k
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$195.00
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$44.00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting? · No0.9760.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May? · Yes0.2920.000$0.00−$152.18
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$14.19
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$55.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8150.000$0.00−$767.00
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$78.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 03:31Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?SELL0.985$39.40
07-02 22:19Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026?SELL0.984$9.84
07-02 03:43Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?BUY0.9689999999$200.00
07-02 02:34Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement?BUY0.9947585969$800.00
07-02 02:29Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$170.00
07-02 01:58Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.993$500.00
07-02 01:57Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.989$500.00
07-02 01:57Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.9908641773$400.00
07-02 01:50Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.978$700.00
07-02 01:08Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?BUY0.987$197.40
07-02 00:37Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$39.36
07-02 00:37Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$39.36
07-02 00:37Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$39.36
07-02 00:36Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$39.36
07-02 00:36Will Deutsche Bank fail by end of 2026?BUY0.984$39.36