0x127e9f59de0fb353866c2615f3abce077a3fd0d8
0x127e9f59de0fb353866c2615f3abce077a3fd0d8
- Realised P&L
- $-63.53
- Volume
- $86.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $45.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.472Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?
- +$1.13at 0.482Solana Up or Down on August 4?
- +$0.92at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET
- +$0.79at 0.565Meta (META) Up or Down on August 10?
- +$0.15at 0.929Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 13:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:27 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:25 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:25 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 10:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.003960396 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 04:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 26? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 18:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 08:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 08:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 08-22 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 23? | BUY | 0.9529999609 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 09:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 09:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-10 13:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |