0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $259.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $38.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.779Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.5kat 0.917Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.840Will France win on 2026-07-04?
- +$1.3kat 0.740Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$696.47at 0.695Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.0013357086 | $6.41 |
| 08-04 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.40 |
| 08-04 13:02 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.81 |
| 08-03 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $754.75 |
| 08-03 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $721.15 |
| 08-02 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $21.20 |
| 08-02 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.88266314 | $487.21 |
| 08-01 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $166.50 |
| 08-01 07:11 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9849900935 | $3.4k |
| 07-30 07:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 07:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.9065370278 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.873449131 | $100.00 |