PolyBot

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Traders

0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$259.4k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$38.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5? · Yes0.2000.285$38.64+$11.51
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic · Siniakova/Townsend0.6500.000$0.00$638.54
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.8350.000$0.00$65.73
Counter-Strike: 5star vs Alter Ego (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs · Alter Ego0.6500.000$0.00$390.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00$8.50
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.6410.000$0.00$225.70
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffs · Ground Zero0.1090.000$0.00$0.65
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner · fnatic0.8560.000$0.00$342.22
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Misa Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group B · Misa Esports0.2600.000$0.00$100.00
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? · No0.8540.000$0.00$3.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 1? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$175.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:34Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?SELL0.0013357086$6.41
08-04 13:44Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 5?BUY0.2$10.40
08-04 13:02Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.04$5.81
08-03 18:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 3?SELL0.999$754.75
08-03 13:25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3?SELL0.999$2.2k
08-02 21:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.999$721.15
08-02 20:07Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?BUY0.9$21.20
08-02 07:41Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 3?BUY0.88266314$487.21
08-01 16:20Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.9$166.50
08-01 07:11Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9849900935$3.4k
07-30 07:53Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.66$100.00
07-30 07:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
07-30 07:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.98$100.00
07-30 07:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.9065370278$100.00
07-30 07:38Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.873449131$100.00