0x127e13d04b6ed6f5cdecd7c279f292b07a9fa6b5-1792531765230
0x127e13d04b6ed6f5cdecd7c279f292b07a9fa6b5
- Realised P&L
- $-4.38
- Volume
- $685.78
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $75.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.920 | $45.51 | −$0.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.024 | $18.33 | +$1.17 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.033 | $6.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $5.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.24 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.37 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in November? | BUY | 0.94 | $46.47 |
| 11-01 10:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 10:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 11-01 10:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | BUY | 0.022 | $1.76 |
| 11-01 10:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? | BUY | 0.022 | $15.40 |
| 10-24 15:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.318 | $4.24 |
| 10-24 15:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 10-24 00:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.18 | $2.67 |
| 10-22 18:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.37 |
| 10-20 23:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $74.98 |