PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sad-Spruce

0x127cb434dbde7c584c2110af90a90e6a6f373743

Realised P&L
$-1.9k
Volume
$63.9k
Markets traded
2,392
Open portfolio
$4.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,392
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · Yes0.9800.405$2.07−$2.93
Will Jon Jones fight for another promotion by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9700.498$2.05−$1.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$18.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.0850.000$0.00−$17.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Solana Up or Down - January 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00−$18.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.1900.000$0.00−$1.14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$4.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00−$2.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00−$10.78
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.2570.000$0.00−$3.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 02:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 01:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.68$10.20
10-04 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 01:15Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 01:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 00:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETBUY0.69$10.35
10-04 00:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETBUY0.69$10.35
10-04 00:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-04 00:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.61$9.15
10-04 00:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETBUY0.69$10.35
10-03 23:46Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-03 23:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.7$10.50
10-03 23:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.63$9.45
10-03 23:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.6766666667$10.15