Sad-Spruce
0x127cb434dbde7c584c2110af90a90e6a6f373743
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,392
- Open portfolio
- $4.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,392
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.00at 0.450Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 29?
- +$89.00at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$83.59at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$81.00at 0.190White Sox vs. Nationals
- +$70.00at 0.650Reds vs. Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 01:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $10.20 |
| 10-04 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 01:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 00:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 10-04 00:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 10-04 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-04 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |
| 10-04 00:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 10-03 23:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 10-03 23:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 10-03 23:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.6766666667 | $10.15 |