PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x127BecB35C763e0daB5eF4CB957F799a0541AfA7-1768514416287

0x127becb35c763e0dab5ef4cb957f799a0541afa7

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$315.7k
Markets traded
898
Open portfolio
$1.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded898
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? · Yes0.1500.040$1.33−$3.67
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$10.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up0.6580.000$0.00−$1.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Down0.4160.000$0.00−$3.98
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.2420.000$0.00−$5.38
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.1730.000$0.00−$5.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.7660.000$0.00−$10.79
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET · Down0.2420.000$0.00−$1.34
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.2220.000$0.00−$3.92
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.2310.000$0.00−$2.69
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$2.39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.0140.000$0.00−$22.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Down0.1200.000$0.00−$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 03:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.0133333333$1.00
09-01 17:09Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?SELL0.085$1.98
08-31 17:27Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?BUY0.016$2.00
08-31 17:24Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2149999751$5.00
08-31 17:22Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026?BUY0.051999976$2.00
08-31 15:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.0169999966$5.00
08-30 15:49Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-30 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.7$2.00
08-30 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4899999559$4.00
08-30 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4899999559$4.00
08-30 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4899999559$4.00
08-30 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4813950398$4.00
08-30 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.4733727811$4.00
08-30 14:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-30 14:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00