0x127BecB35C763e0daB5eF4CB957F799a0541AfA7-1768514416287
0x127becb35c763e0dab5ef4cb957f799a0541afa7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $315.7k
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.60at 0.102Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
- +$106.33at 0.090Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?
- +$105.78at 0.274Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$86.74at 0.224US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$70.90at 0.004Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 03:20 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0133333333 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:09 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.085 | $1.98 |
| 08-31 17:27 | Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 17:24 | Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2149999751 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 17:22 | Will Iran target Qatar by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.051999976 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 15:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 15:49 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 15:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4813950398 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4733727811 | $4.00 |
| 08-30 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 14:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |