Nathan0376
0x1277db84b396a9d8cd06d477f13b0f52a2d424fc
- Realised P&L
- $-115.23
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $76.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.650 | 0.645 | $7.44 | −$0.06 |
| Flyers vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.640 | 0.635 | $7.44 | −$0.06 |
| Suns vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.570 | 0.565 | $7.43 | −$0.07 |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Heat | 0.530 | 0.525 | $7.43 | −$0.07 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Nets | 0.490 | 0.485 | $7.42 | −$0.08 |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.430 | 0.425 | $7.41 | −$0.09 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Warriors | 0.330 | 0.325 | $7.39 | −$0.11 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Pelicans | 0.500 | 0.505 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Spread: Heat (-1.5) · Heat | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Lakers (-6.5) · Warriors | 0.500 | 0.495 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) · Trail Blazers | 0.470 | 0.465 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Nets (-1.5) · Nets | 0.460 | 0.455 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Spread: Spurs (-1.5) · Spurs | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Kings vs. Capitals · Capitals | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Wild vs. Oilers · Wild | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.33at 0.290Canucks vs. Panthers
- +$61.73at 0.310St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$56.36at 0.351Sharks vs. Canadiens
- +$55.21at 0.333Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$48.71at 0.356Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:27 | Kings vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.649999974 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 16:09 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.329999996 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 16:08 | Suns vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 16:03 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 16:01 | Spread: Lakers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 13:57 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 13:52 | Pacers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.4299999868 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 13:40 | Hornets vs. Nets | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 13:36 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.5299999774 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 13:30 | Spread: Heat (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 13:29 | Flyers vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.64 | $7.50 |
| 10-21 13:27 | Spread: Nets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 03:40 | Spread: Oilers (-1.5) | SELL | 0.94 | $27.75 |
| 10-21 03:06 | Spread: Red Wings (-1.5) | SELL | 0.9363920455 | $13.18 |
| 10-21 02:34 | Spread: Blues (-1.5) | SELL | 0.99 | $29.55 |