bestrongman
0x12735ef14a42a66d8271d3357e800dfb90181d28
- Realised P&L
- $-16.0k
- Volume
- $36.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $21.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-43.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $10.31 | +$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 September 21-27? · No | 0.998 | 0.955 | $6.10 | −$0.27 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.53 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27?
- +$-16.0kat 0.980Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 02:08 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.0k |
| 09-27 02:08 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.1k |
| 09-27 02:06 | Will XRP reach $1.80 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.37 |
| 09-27 02:05 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.53 |
| 09-27 02:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9989999332 | $10.30 |