0x1270c0b74bfecbba6382a9170db6db46921bb004
- Realised P&L
- $-103.11
- Volume
- $35.0k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $6.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.075 | $5.54 | −$9.96 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.771 | 1.000 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.88 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7709999823 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 23:27 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999916 | $15.50 |
| 04-21 22:59 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.003 | $80.00 |
| 04-21 22:59 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | SELL | 0.002 | $6.56 |
| 04-21 22:58 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |