0x1252694f3c830cdfa872f13b1a8f779f4db1ce1b
0x1252694f3c830cdfa872f13b1a8f779f4db1ce1b
- Realised P&L
- $10.52
- Volume
- $638.16
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $101.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.270 | 0.640 | $23.70 | +$13.70 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $15.14 | +$5.14 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.940 | $12.05 | +$2.05 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.900 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.825 | $9.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.090 | $8.18 | −$1.82 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.490 | $8.03 | −$1.97 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.070 | $7.78 | −$2.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.235 | $6.03 | −$3.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.21at 0.890Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?
- +$3.87at 0.725Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.44at 0.933Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$-10.38at 0.311WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 30?
- +$-10.47at 0.086WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:49 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:49 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:27 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $680 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:26 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8909999956 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:25 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:25 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:25 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.9539999357 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0817547352 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on September 30? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:19 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | SELL | 0.992 | $56.53 |