0x124495daea4DcE88931118034A5402496BB910a2-1793267786441
0x124495daea4dce88931118034a5402496bb910a2
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $22.15
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31?
- +$3.28at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1?
- +$1.10at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1?
- +$0.99at 0.520Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31?
- +$0.93at 0.540Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:52 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2999999727 | $1.10 |
| 11-02 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.8199999851 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 11:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.20 |
| 11-01 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.38 |
| 11-01 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.204999987 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.5699998705 | $1.10 |
| 11-01 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3549999484 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.09 |
| 10-31 11:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.48 |
| 10-31 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.5199999055 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 02:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.10 |
| 10-30 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.10 |