PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1241d827d844c4d9f4ef6495b3673aeb3245d325

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$158.7k
Markets traded
1,247
Open portfolio
$90.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,247
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No0.9480.958$5.05+$0.05
Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9600.968$5.04+$0.04
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election? · Yes0.7670.765$3.99$0.01
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9240.948$3.08+$0.08
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9590.947$2.97$0.04
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9690.947$2.94$0.07
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? · No0.9310.893$2.88$0.12
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · No0.9770.856$2.63$0.37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.9500.981$2.06+$0.06
Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections? · Yes0.9320.957$2.05+$0.05
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.9580.962$2.01+$0.01
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian government? · No0.9910.992$2.00+$0.00
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the next Kolkata municipal election? · Yes0.9400.935$1.99$0.01
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? · No0.9510.939$1.98$0.03
Will United Russia win the next Stavropol Krai Parliament elections? · Yes0.9750.954$1.96$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:30Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.99$3.01
09-17 19:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.9679998606$1.00
09-17 16:44Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?SELL0.76$0.97
09-17 16:44Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-17 15:00Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?SELL0.72$0.94
09-17 14:09Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.987999755$1.00
09-17 13:44Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?BUY0.759999696$1.00
09-17 13:27Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9889993601$1.00
09-17 13:25Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9889993601$1.00
09-17 13:24Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.987999996$1.00
09-17 12:47Will the United Hearts Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Central African Republic National Assembly election?SELL0.992$1.07
09-17 00:02Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.92$2.96
09-17 00:01Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.9299998419$1.00
09-17 00:01Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.9299998419$1.00
09-17 00:01Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.9299998419$1.00