PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OrientSunshine

0x123de0ad4c48b38afe04769bad4b4739cb0baa74

Realised P&L
$-8.4k
Volume
$84.3k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2310.135$5.9k$4.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 19:53Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.003$54.29
04-12 18:05Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.1399999995$200.00
04-11 03:31Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3$4.5k
04-10 22:47Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.2999999997$500.00
02-28 14:29Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.73$540.20
02-28 14:09Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.3714260581$218.51
01-26 15:18Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.27$199.80
01-26 15:15Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.17$100.01
01-22 02:49Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.4899999916$25.00
01-22 02:47Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.09$25.00
01-20 04:42Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.52$52.00
01-14 06:06Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2305191596$10.0k
01-13 06:21Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
01-09 08:38Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.5199999958$50.00
01-07 06:15Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
Trader OrientSunshine · PolyBot