PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GoldScholar

0x1239a697ce5ee90bbdecc7abba86a347f0fd4e1b

Realised P&L
$-19.30
Volume
$26.0k
Markets traded
296
Open portfolio
$5.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded296
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.011$5.81$64.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET · Up0.6300.000$0.00$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00$21.39
Starmer out by June 26, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET · Up0.3430.000$0.00$2.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET · Down0.2950.000$0.00$4.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.4310.000$0.00$1.33
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.5740.000$0.00$0.93
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? · Down0.3500.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.4520.000$0.00$1.24
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.5610.000$0.00$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Down0.3840.000$0.00$1.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 07:46Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0858363996$9.90
06-24 07:42Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5899999947$10.00
06-24 04:04Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.145200067$60.00
06-23 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ETBUY0.5699999966$10.00
06-23 18:17Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-21 11:34Starmer out by June 26, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
06-19 08:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.5499999931$20.00
06-18 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.6499999935$20.00
06-18 04:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.6358309038$10.90
06-17 16:20Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.6193806181$50.00
06-17 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.6799999993$40.00
06-16 08:55Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?BUY0.64$59.64
06-16 08:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.09$1.00
06-16 08:52Epstein client list released by June 30?SELL0.0136011683$6.75
06-15 06:03Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?SELL0.18$5.48