GoldScholar
0x1239a697ce5ee90bbdecc7abba86a347f0fd4e1b
- Realised P&L
- $-19.30
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 296
- Open portfolio
- $5.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded296
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.87at 0.194Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7AM ET
- +$130.81at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$62.69at 0.522Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?
- +$41.00at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7AM ET
- +$38.12at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 07:46 | Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0858363996 | $9.90 |
| 06-24 07:42 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 04:04 | Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.145200067 | $60.00 |
| 06-23 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 11:34 | Starmer out by June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-18 04:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6358309038 | $10.90 |
| 06-17 16:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6193806181 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999993 | $40.00 |
| 06-16 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $59.64 |
| 06-16 08:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 08:52 | Epstein client list released by June 30? | SELL | 0.0136011683 | $6.75 |
| 06-15 06:03 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | SELL | 0.18 | $5.48 |