0x1236d4c9f5926125a0fee759b23942cfd618c968
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 10,847
- Open portfolio
- $262.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,847
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.11at 0.004Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 29?
- +$95.56at 0.010Will Gabriella Fernandes win by KO or TKO?
- +$92.68at 0.010Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- +$90.89at 0.010Giustino vs. Forejtek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- +$90.57at 0.015Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 18:57 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-17 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.145 | $0.51 |
| 11-02 17:45 | Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.11 |
| 11-02 07:13 | Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.36 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-43 House seat? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.041 | $1.32 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.45 |
| 10-31 04:14 | Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs NEXVOID (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Playoffs | SELL | 0.016 | $2.99 |
| 10-30 01:57 | Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? | SELL | 0.042 | $0.37 |
| 10-29 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $1.50 |
| 10-29 20:47 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 10-29 16:05 | Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.104 | $0.27 |
| 10-29 16:05 | Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.50 |
| 10-29 16:05 | Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.66 |
| 10-27 20:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.15 |
| 10-27 18:43 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.37 |