0x1236d4c9f5926125a0Fee759b23942cfd618C968-1771524654076
0x1236d4c9f5926125a0fee759b23942cfd618c968
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 9,297
- Open portfolio
- $37.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,297
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$258.73at 0.002Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?
- +$95.55at 0.010Will Gabriella Fernandes win by KO or TKO?
- +$92.68at 0.010Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- +$90.88at 0.010Giustino vs. Forejtek: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
- +$90.57at 0.015Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:03 | Marina Mabrey: Points O/U 19.5 | SELL | 0.008 | $0.49 |
| 08-02 05:39 | Will fewer than 950 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 10:18 | Honor of Kings: ROC Esports vs Influence Rage (BO3) - Honor of Kings World Cup Group B | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 07-31 17:05 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | SELL | 0.22 | $1.33 |
| 07-30 19:35 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.53 |
| 07-29 02:20 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.121 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 19:07 | Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E12? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.08 |
| 07-28 19:07 | Will the Atlanta Dream make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.41 |
| 07-24 17:20 | SV Seekirchen vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.61 | $1.17 |
| 07-22 11:26 | Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.71 |
| 07-19 17:02 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.02 |
| 07-18 23:39 | Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.122 | $0.05 |
| 07-17 18:55 | Will Kyle Schwarber hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.064 | $0.62 |
| 07-17 18:54 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.19 | $1.99 |
| 07-16 15:55 | AC Virtus vs. SK Dila Gori: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.06 | $0.06 |